1.Non-Farm Payrolls :
This data is one of the most influential data in the market. Particularly the employment data is perceived as the precursor of the economic course by the market players. The announced data is assessed according the data realized in the previous period and the data expected in the current period. Since the data coming higher than the expectations can affect FED (American Central Bank) to increase interest rates in the next period meeting of FED, this affects the dollar positively, if it comes lower than the expectations then this affects the dollar negatively with an influence for a potential decrease in FED's interest rates.
The non-farm payrolls figure is announced the first Friday of each month. -3:30 p.m.
2.Unemployment Rate :This is another important data which is announced together with the non-farm payrolls and which deeply influences the American economy each month. The announced data is assessed according the data realized in the previous period and the data expected in the current period. Since the data coming higher than the expectations can affect FED (American Central Bank) to increase interest rates in the next period meeting of FED, this affects the dollar negatively, if it comes lower than the expectations then this affects the dollar positively with an influence for a potential decrease in FED's interest rates.
The unemployment rate is announced first Friday of each month - 3:30 p.m.
3.Weakly Jobless Claims :
This is a data basically related with unemployment rate. It is weekly announced. It has a leading role in terms of monthly unemployment data. The announced data is assessed according the data realized in the previous period and the data expected in the current period. Since the data coming higher than the expectations can affect FED (American Central Bank) to increase interest rates in the next period meeting of FED, this affects the dollar negatively, if it comes lower than the expectations then this affects the dollar positively with an influence for a potential decrease in FED's interest rates.
Weekly Jobless Claims are announced each Thursday. – 3:30 p.m.
4.Consumer Price Index :
Consumer Price Index is an index related with the inflation. It usually expresses the increase in the price of products bought by the consumers over a general price level. It is distinctively assessed in different conjunctures. If there is an inflation threat in a country, the increase is assessed as negative, if there is no inflation threat then it is assessed as apositive contribution to that country's economy. The announced data is assessed according the data realized in the previous period and the data expected in the current period. Since the American economy’s CPI figures coming higher than the expectations can affect FED (American Central Bank) to increase interest rates in the next period meeting of FED, this affects the dollar positively, if they come lower than the expectations then this affects the dollar negatively with an influence for a potential decrease in FED's interest rates.
It is announced the second Tuesday of each month. – 3:30 p.m.
5.Producer Price Index :Although this is somehow similar to the Wholesale Price Index in our country, it is partly different. Because the Wholesale Price Index in our country also involves some consumer products. As mentioned in CPI conjunctural differences are assessed differently. The announced data is assessed according the data realized in the previous period and the data expected in the current period. Since the American economy’s CPI figures coming higher than the expectations can affect FED (American Central Bank) to increase interest rates in the next period meeting of FED, this affects the dollar positively, if they come lower than the expectations then this affects the dollar negatively with an influence for a potential decrease in FED's interest rates.
It is announced the second Friday of each month. – 3:30 p.m.
6.Gross National Product :The Gross National Product which is obtained by adding the revenues of the rest of the world to the sum of domestic production factors, is one of the most important indicators in terms of a country’s economy. National income is obtained by subtracting the Depreciations and indirect taxes from the gross national product. The announced data is assessed according the data realized in the previous period and the data expected in the current period. Since the data coming higher than the expectations can affect FED (American Central Bank) to increase interest rates in the next period meeting of FED, this affects the dollar positively, if it comes lower than the expectations then this affects the dollar negatively with an influence for a potential decrease in FED's interest rates.
It is announced the third Wednesday of each month. – 3:30 p.m.
7.Retail Sales :
Retail sales is a valuable indicator in terms of determining the active movement in a country’s market. When retail sales increase this means that there is a pickup in that country’s domestic market. The data announced in this regard is assessed according the data realized in the previous period and the data expected in the current period. Since the data coming higher than the expectations can affect FED (American Central Bank) to increase interest rates in the next period meeting of FED, this affects the dollar positively, if it comes lower than the expectations then this affects the dollar negatively with an influence for a potential decrease in FED's interest rates.
It is announced in the second Tuesday of each month. -15:30
8.Capacity Utilization :Although this is not a data equally important as the others, from economists’ point of view, it gains importance in terms of determining the productivity in a country. The announced data is assessed according the data realized in the previous period and the data expected in the current period. Since the data coming higher than the expectations can affect FED (American Central Bank) to increase interest rates in the next period meeting of FED, this affects the dollar positively, if it comes lower than the expectations then this affects the dollar negatively with an influence for a potential decrease in FED's interest rates.
There is no specific timing.
9.Industrial Production :
The height of the industrial production figures of a country is in direct proportion with the development level of that country. The announced data is assessed according the data realized in the previous period and the data expected in the current period. Since the data coming higher than the expectations can affect FED (American Central Bank) to increase interest rates in the next period meeting of FED, this affects the dollar positively, if it comes lower than the expectations then this affects the dollar negatively with an influence for a potential decrease in FED's interest rates.
There is no specific timing.
10.Inventories :
When the ratio of working with inventories increases in an economy then it is assumed that this country's economy works inefficiently. In this regard an inventory data announced above the expectations shall affect the dollar negatively whereas an inventory data announced below shall affect the market positively.
There is no specific timing.
11.Construction Spendings :
In an economy the increase in spendings in construction sector is assessed as positive for that country. Generally all spendings’ indicators have a reviving effect on the market and thus their rise is considered as positive for that country’s economy. The announced data is assessed according the data realized in the previous period and the data expected in the current period. Since the data coming higher than the expectations can affect FED (American Central Bank) to increase interest rates in the next period meeting of FED, this affects the dollar positively, if it comes lower than the expectations then this affects the dollar negatively with an influence for a potential decrease in FED's interest rates.
There is no specific timing.
12. FED Rate Meetings :When the central banks increase the interest rates in developed countries, since there will be a short term demand increase for that country’s currency, when the interest rate is increased, the dollar gains value for a short term. When the interest rate is decreased then the dollar loses value for a short-term. In the long run this will create a fully adverse effect in terms of the theory of interest rates.
There is no specific timing.
13.Leading Indicators,
Mich. Survey, Fed Survey (American Central Bank’s Survey):
It is of research nature. The announced data is assessed according the data realized in the previous period and the data expected in the current period. Since the data coming higher than the expectations can affect FED (American Central Bank) to increase interest rates in the next period meeting of FED, this affects the dollar positively, if it comes lower than the expectations then this affects the dollar negatively with an influence for a potential decrease in FED's interest rates.
There is no specific timing.
14.Durable Goods :
The announced data is assessed according the data realized in the previous period and the data expected in the current period. Since the data coming higher than the expectations can affect FED (American Central Bank) to increase interest rates in the next period meeting of FED, this affects the dollar positively, if it comes lower than the expectations then this affects the dollar negatively with an influence for a potential decrease in FED's interest rates.
